Radiance: open the box or keep it sealed?
As of November 1, 2026, a booster box of Radiance sells for $122.15. Using pull rates estimated by the community, the cards you can expect to pull from one box resell for about $79.98, not counting the signature cards, whose pull rate nobody publishes. The $42.17 difference is what buyers pay for a chance at the signature cards, which average $708.85, plus whatever extra collectors pay to keep boxes sealed. For opening a box to break even, one would have to appear about once every 16.8 boxes (0.36 per 6-box case). That's a break-even figure worked out from prices, not the real pull rate, which nobody publishes; because part of the box price is a premium for staying sealed, the real rate can be rarer.
Open it or keep it sealed?
Every kind of hit in a Radiance box, how often it turns up (community estimates), what those cards sell for today, and what that adds to the value of one box. Pictures show the most valuable cards in each hit; hover or tap for names.
| Hit | How often | Average price | Value per box |
|---|---|---|---|
Overnumbered showcases   16 cards | about 1 per 3 boxes1 in 3.3 boxes | $89.59 | $26.88 |
Epics   28 cards | about 6–8 per box7 per box | $3.72 | $26.02 |
Showcase alt arts and alt-art runes   29 cards | about 3 per box3.2 per box | $7.41 | $23.73 |
Ultimate Rare 1 card | about 1 per 167 boxes (Riot: 0.025% per pack)1 in 166.7 boxes | $558.45 | $3.35 |
Signature cards   13 cards, the chase | Not publishedopening breaks even at 1 in 16.8 boxes | $708.85 | ? |
| Value of opening one boxevery hit above with a known rate, before selling costs | $79.98 | ||
| Booster box price todaymarket price, before selling costs | $122.15 | ||
| Open and sell the cards, after 15% selling costsfees, payment and a shipment for every sale | $67.98 | ||
| Sell the box sealed, after 10% selling costsfees, payment and one shipment | $109.94 | ||
| Opening vs selling the box, after costsboth sides net of their selling costs; chase cards not included | −$41.95 | ||
It depends on the signature cards. The hits with known rates return $79.98 per box, $42.17 short of the $122.15 box. Opening only comes out ahead if a signature card turns up more often than about 1 in 16.8 boxes (1 in 14.4 once selling costs are counted on both sides). Nobody publishes that rate, so opening is a bet on it. The Pull Log is measuring it from real boxes.
Boxes and packs for this set
Boxes, bundles and packs of the same set hold different numbers of packs and extras, so their prices aren't directly comparable. The box math on this page is for this box: Radiance - Booster Display.
| Box | Market price | Cheapest listing |
|---|---|---|
 Radiance - Booster DisplayBooster boxes | $122.15 | $117.77 |
 Radiance - Showdown Decks: Evelynn vs Seraphine DisplayCases and displays | $96.74 | $67.92 |
The chase cards: signature cards
Nobody publishes how often these turn up. Their average price is $708.85.
- Riven, The Exile (Signature)$1,286
- Seraphine, Starry-Eyed Songstress (Signature)$1,111
- Aphelios, Exalted (Heartsteel Signature)$993.25
Evelynn, Agony's Embrace (Signature)$934.06
Mordekaiser, Iron Revenant (Signature)$835.00
Ezreal, Dashing (Heartsteel Signature)$692.50
Orianna, Lady of Clockwork (Signature)$583.29
Ekko, Boy Who Shattered Time (Signature)$522.02
Sett, Kingpin (Heartsteel Signature)$517.17
Kayn, Unleashed (Heartsteel Signature)$503.37
Yone, Blademaster (Heartsteel Signature)$487.50
K'Sante, Pride of Nazumah (Signature)$400.00
K'Sante, Courageous (Heartsteel Signature)$349.94
Log your pulls in the Pull Log. Every logged box makes these rates more accurate, and you'll see how lucky your boxes were.
Log your boxesAssumptions
- Pull rates: TCGTalk Radiance pull-rate guide (community estimate from 330 packs, mostly Riot-supplied creator displays, which may run hotter than retail; the Ultimate rate is Riot's stated 0.025% per pack). A case is 6 boxes.
- Cards under $1 count as $0, since they cost more to sell and ship than they bring in; commons, uncommons and base rares are left out for the same reason.
- Within each pull, every card is treated as equally likely.
- Left out for lack of a market price: Jarvan IV, Exemplar of Demacia (Signature).
- Left out for lack of a market price: Ziggs, Hexplosives Expert (Signature).
- Part of any box price is a premium collectors pay to keep boxes sealed, which has nothing to do with pulls. So buyers who plan to open may expect the chase card less often than the implied rate.